Presidential Forecast
Harris (D) has a 67% chance of victory.
Throughout a total of 1,000 simulations.
Trump (R) has a 33% chance of victory.
Throughout a total of 1,000 simulations.
Race Estimate
Harris (D) is expected to receive 281.4 electors.
And never had less than 212 in our simulations.
Trump (R) is expected to receive 256.6 electors.
And never had less than 148 in our simulations.
Interactive Map
Interactive Electoral Map
Created in partnership with Simplemaps.
National Popular Vote Estimate
Harris (D) will receive of the vote.
According to our projections and analysis.
Trump (R) will receive of the vote.
According to our projections and analysis.
State of the Race
The star of the 2024 elections is the presidential election, where former President Donald Trump, a Republican, and Vice President Kamala Harris, a Democrat, are facing off in a very close race. Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden was originally his party’s nominee, but following a poor debate performance and pressure from party leaders, he dropped out and endorsed Harris on July 21, 2024. Seven key battleground states, which are probably easy to identify in the map above, are likely to decide this election.
